Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#282
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#290
Pace83.7#7
Improvement+2.6#75

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#249
First Shot-0.6#198
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#324
Layup/Dunks+0.1#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#301
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#78
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+4.6#10

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#295
First Shot-3.5#275
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#291
Layups/Dunks-1.4#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#38
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement-2.0#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 50   @ BYU L 54-85 4%     0 - 1 -17.7 -23.2 +11.7
  Nov 18, 2015 191   @ Denver L 62-75 20%     0 - 2 -12.0 -13.4 +1.8
  Nov 24, 2015 133   @ Utah St. L 55-81 12%     0 - 3 -20.8 -19.7 -0.7
  Nov 28, 2015 235   UC Davis L 70-82 48%     0 - 4 -19.4 -3.2 -15.8
  Dec 01, 2015 252   Montana St. L 72-76 52%     0 - 5 -12.4 -16.8 +4.9
  Dec 05, 2015 342   Southern Utah L 54-68 81%     0 - 6 -31.3 -33.1 +2.6
  Dec 09, 2015 146   Weber St. W 84-81 2OT 28%     1 - 6 +1.1 -10.8 +11.1
  Dec 12, 2015 276   @ Idaho St. W 100-76 37%     2 - 6 +19.5 +15.5 +1.6
  Dec 19, 2015 339   @ Texas San Antonio W 83-78 61%     3 - 6 -5.9 -2.4 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2015 87   UNC Wilmington L 77-102 9%     3 - 7 -18.5 -4.4 -10.4
  Dec 23, 2015 11   @ Louisville L 68-98 1%     3 - 8 -10.1 +1.9 -9.6
  Dec 28, 2015 39   @ St. Mary's L 50-65 3%     3 - 9 -1.1 -17.9 +16.4
  Jan 07, 2016 112   New Mexico St. L 66-78 21%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -11.3 -3.7 -7.5
  Jan 09, 2016 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 98-65 85%     4 - 10 1 - 1 +14.1 +14.1 -0.3
  Jan 16, 2016 134   @ Grand Canyon L 88-99 12%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -5.9 +2.0 -6.0
  Jan 21, 2016 253   @ UMKC W 90-79 30%     5 - 11 2 - 2 +8.4 +11.5 -3.4
  Jan 23, 2016 348   @ Chicago St. W 82-76 70%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -7.3 +2.6 -10.0
  Jan 28, 2016 292   Seattle L 62-73 64%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -22.6 -13.5 -9.0
  Jan 30, 2016 110   Cal St. Bakersfield L 74-78 20%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -3.0 +4.3 -7.2
  Feb 04, 2016 347   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-77 69%     7 - 13 4 - 4 -2.0 -5.3 +1.6
  Feb 06, 2016 112   @ New Mexico St. L 74-98 9%     7 - 14 4 - 5 -17.4 +2.5 -18.3
  Feb 13, 2016 110   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-91 9%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -15.2 -6.9 -5.2
  Feb 18, 2016 348   Chicago St. W 74-72 85%     8 - 15 5 - 6 -17.1 -11.3 -5.9
  Feb 20, 2016 253   UMKC W 79-70 52%     9 - 15 6 - 6 +0.6 -0.9 +1.3
  Feb 27, 2016 292   @ Seattle L 69-72 42%     9 - 16 6 - 7 -8.7 +0.0 -8.8
  Mar 05, 2016 134   Grand Canyon L 79-86 25%     9 - 17 6 - 8 -7.8 -6.9 +0.3
  Mar 10, 2016 253   UMKC L 78-80 41%     9 - 18 -7.5 -5.7 -1.6
Projected Record 9.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 100.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%